Goldilocks and decision-making

Think quick!

You've been transported back in time to yesterday. It's 7 PM on Thursday in Goshen

A musician you've been liking is playing a concert live in Chicago this very evening:

Can you make it in time?!?!

 

Another story:

You've been transported back in time to last Sunday evening, Sept 10 (Goshen)

You hear that Janelle Monae will be playing a concert on Thursday in 4 days in Chicago:

Can you make it in time?!?!

 

A final scenario:

You've been transported back in time to yesterday. It's 3 PM (Goshen)

You hear that Janelle Monae will be playing a concert this very evening in Chicago:

Can you make it in time?!?!

The process of decision making

...frequently involves:

  • Making a 'rough' estimate of something, or having a personal experience of something, such as driving time to Chicago,
  • in order to make a comparison, e.g. time available vs driving time,

  • which falls into one of the Goldilocks categories (see the book 'Guesstimation'):
    • too hot (very large),
    • too cold (very small), or
    • just about right.

Is an exact answer necessary?

Frequently an order of magnitude (the nearest "power of 10") is good enough!

Unit conversions

As a writer (or presenter) you can *help* someone (your audience) make a comparison or decision by making sure that any numbers being compared are in the same units and in units that are familiar to your audience.

Metric system: It's relatively easy to convert metric units:

1 kilometer = 1000 meters
1 kilogram = 1000 grams